But almost all the bets in this column will be based on the outputs of models built by me, or occasionally by my colleagues at ESPN Analytics. A less-efficient market. NFL sides and totals are voluminous markets,

The NFL season is long and there are dog days to it. It's hard as one of the elite teams to play at a top level for four straight months. Maybe that's a reason underdogs did well in Week 10. It was an odd week: Through Sunday's early window of games,